Capability 03 · Tuned while it runs

Most campaigns are judged after they end. These are corrected while they run.

AI Campaign Optimization builds the measurement and the models that decide where budget goes: clean signal, incrementality tests, marketing mix modelling and daily reallocation. Proposals arrive with their reasoning; a person approves anything that moves money.

Typical first release
4–8 weeks to the first models
Scope
Paid · owned · earned
Standard
Incrementality, not last click
Budget allocator · Campaign Q3Your ad accounts

Day 7: retargeting sits at its spend floor, retargeting is cut by the maximum again, and search category asked for 26 percent more, above the limit, so it moved 20 percent and the rest waits for a person to approve.

Illustrative figures in any currency. The dashed tick on each bar is the spend floor.

What we build · 6 parts

Measure it honestly, then let the model act

No model survives a broken measurement layer. Signal quality is fixed first, then experiments calibrate the models, then automation acts within limits you set.

Line and candlestick charts fill a monitor, a laptop, a tablet and a phone on a white desk
  1. 01Campaign AI

    Measurement foundations

    Server-side tagging, consent mode, conversion APIs with event deduplication and offline conversion import, so platforms and your warehouse agree on what happened.

    Clean, consented signal
  2. 02Campaign AI

    Incrementality & geo experiments

    Holdout and geo-split tests that measure what advertising actually caused, used to calibrate every model that follows.

    Lift · holdouts
  3. 03Campaign AI

    Marketing mix modelling

    Bayesian mix models with adstock and saturation curves, calibrated against experiments, producing budget scenarios by channel and market.

    MMM · scenarios
  4. 04Campaign AI

    Budget allocation & bidding

    Daily or weekly reallocation proposals across channels and campaigns, each with expected effect and confidence, executed through platform APIs after approval.

    Proposed · approved · applied
  5. 05Campaign AI

    Creative & audience testing

    Structured test plans with sequential testing or multi-armed bandits, fatigue detection and a library of what has already been learned.

    Tests · bandits
  6. 06Campaign AI

    Anomaly detection & guardrails

    Pacing, cost and conversion anomalies detected within hours, with spend caps, rollback and a kill switch that does not need an agency ticket.

    Alerts · caps · rollback

Where it sits in the engine

Spend moves on evidence, not on last week’s dashboard.

The loop one budget decision takes. The highlighted step is where the optimisation model does its work.

  1. 01 · Signal Conversions in Server-side conversions and offline sales, deduplicated and consented.
  2. 02 · Model Forecast Expected return per ad set and audience at the next unit of spend.
  3. 03 · Guard Guardrails Daily shift limits, spend floors, brand safety and frequency caps. Campaign AI
  4. 04 · Approve Above threshold Moves bigger than the agreed limit wait for a person.
  5. 05 · Prove Incrementality Geo and holdout tests confirm what the platforms report.

How it runs · 4 stages

Baseline, instrument, model, then automate

Each phase is only worth running because the one before it is trustworthy. Automation comes last, not first. Timings are typical, not promised.

Stage 01 of 4Wk 01–02

Baseline

Current spend, reporting, attribution and data quality reviewed. Gaps between platform numbers and your own records quantified, and the first experiments designed.

Produces

  • Signal audit
  • Spend baseline
  • Experiment plan

Stage 02 of 4Wk 02–05

Instrument

Server-side tagging, consent mode, conversion APIs and warehouse ingestion built, with event deduplication and a single conversion definition.

Produces

  • Tracking build
  • Warehouse pipeline
  • Metric definitions

Stage 03 of 4Wk 05–09

Model

Mix models fitted and calibrated against experiment results, with scenario planning and a written read on what each channel contributes.

Produces

  • MMM results
  • Experiment readouts
  • Budget scenarios

Stage 04 of 4Ongoing

Optimise

Reallocation proposals and creative tests run on a weekly cadence, guardrails monitored, and models refitted as the data grows.

Produces

  • Weekly proposals
  • Test log
  • Monthly performance review

Holdout read-out · what you will see

Test regions against control regions. Then decide.

The read-out a budget decision rests on: matched regions with and without the change, the difference and how sure we are of it.

Geo holdout · Paid social uplift · 6 weeksIllustrative
Geo holdout · Paid social uplift · 6 weeks
MeasureTest regions (8)Control regions (8)Difference90% interval
Orders per 10k people41.237.6+9.6% (on track)+4.1% to +14.8%
Cost per incremental order₹ 612—not applicableBelow ₹ 700 target (on track)₹ 520 to ₹ 890
New customers share38%36%+2 pts (needs attention)−1 to +5 pts
Returns within 30 days6.1%6.0%No change (on track)−0.8 to +1.0 pts
Scale spend 25%; retest new-customer shareIllustrative read-out. An interval that crosses zero is reported as unproven, not as a win.

What you own

Models, tests and read-outs. In your warehouse.

The measurement model, the test design and the read-outs live in your own data stack, with the code to rerun them.

A dashboard of conversion and quality figures with small trend lines on a screen
The read-outspend moved on evidence
AI Campaign Optimization deliverables and their formats
#DeliverableFormat
01Measurement plan & metric definitionsDoc · sheet
02Server-side tagging & conversion APIsContainer · code
03Experiment designs & readoutsPlan · report
04Marketing mix model & scenario toolModel · dashboard
05Budget allocation proposalsDashboard · log
06Creative & audience test librarySheet · board
07Anomaly alerts & spend guardrailsAlerts · config

What changes

Spend that proves itself. Three numbers finance will sign.

Optimisation succeeds when lift is measured against a control, cost per outcome falls and budget moves on evidence. They are aims, not guarantees.

  1. 01

    Numbers that agree

    One conversion definition across platforms, analytics and the warehouse, so meetings are about decisions rather than whose report is right.

  2. 02

    Budget that follows evidence

    Allocation informed by experiments and modelled contribution instead of platform-reported credit.

  3. 03

    Mistakes caught in hours

    Pacing and cost anomalies surface the same day, with caps and rollback ready, not at the month-end review.

Cost per acquisitionWithWithoutIllustrative

Cost per acquisition by week, optimised vs fixed split. Lower is better. Shape only: in-flight reallocation against a budget left on its launch split, with the gap confirmed by a holdout test rather than by platform reporting.

Technologies we work with

Warehouse first. Then the models on top.

The analytics, warehouse, modelling and reporting tools we use to measure and move spend. Named as technologies we work with, not partnerships; model providers run inside an approval step, never around it.

  • Google Analytics
  • Google Tag Manager
  • Google
  • Google BigQuery
  • Snowflake
  • Airbyte
  • Python
  • scikit-learn
  • Looker
  • PostHog
  • Mixpanel
  • dbt
  • Power BI

Frameworks we build to

Measured without tracking people further than they agreed.

Frameworks each model and tag plan is designed against. Frameworks we build to, not certifications we hold.

  • GDPR — General Data Protection Regulation (EU) 2016/679

    General Data Protection Regulation (EU) 2016/679

    Consent captured per purpose and channel, tracking tags fired only after consent (Consent Mode v2 where Google is used), and erasure requests reaching every connected tool.

  • DPDP Act 2023 — Digital Personal Data Protection Act, 2023

    Digital Personal Data Protection Act, 2023

    Notices and consent records for India-based customers, with withdrawal honoured in every journey and channel within the same working day.

  • NIST AI RMF 1.0 — AI Risk Management Framework

    AI Risk Management Framework

    Each model that scores, targets or writes is inventoried with an owner, a measured error rate and a threshold that stops it.

  • EU AI Act — Artificial Intelligence Act (EU) 2024/1689

    Artificial Intelligence Act (EU) 2024/1689

    AI-generated content labelled where required, targeting and scoring use cases classified by risk, and a person able to override every automated decision.

  • ISO/IEC 27701 — Privacy information management systems

    Privacy information management systems

    Every marketing tool that holds personal data listed with its purpose, retention and processor terms, and kept current as tools are added.

Services & packages

Know what worked, while there is still time to act on it.

We build the measurement, the experiments and the models that decide where your budget goes, then automate the reallocation within limits you set. Clean signal first, causal evidence second, automation last.

Categories
05
Services
15
Packages
04
Not sure what you need? Describe the problem

How to buy

  1. 01Pick services. Enquire about one, or add several to a brief.
  2. 02Choose how to engage. A sprint, a fixed project or an ongoing team.
  3. 03Send the brief. We reply within one working day.

Browse by category

Timelines are typical. Every quote follows a written scope.

01Measurement foundations

4 services
Typical timeline: 2–5 weeks

Analytics & tag management (GA4)

Accurate tracking of visits, leads and sales, set up with consent so the numbers can be trusted by finance as well as marketing.

What’s included

  • Measurement plan tied to commercial goals
  • GA4 and Tag Manager implementation
  • Conversion and e-commerce events
  • Consent mode and cookie banner integration
  • Tag-by-tag testing before launch
  • GA4
  • Tag Manager
  • Consent mode

Best forTeams who suspect their analytics numbers are wrong and cannot prove it.

Typical timeline: 4–8 weeks

Server-side tagging & conversion APIs

Send conversions from your own server rather than the browser, with deduplication, so measurement survives browser and consent changes.

What’s included

  • Server-side tagging container and hosting
  • Platform conversion APIs with event deduplication
  • Hashed identifier handling where consented
  • Offline and CRM conversion import
  • Server-side
  • Conversion API
  • Deduplication

Best forAdvertisers seeing conversions disappear as tracking restrictions tighten.

Typical timeline: 6–12 weeks

Marketing metric layer

One definition of every marketing number, modelled in your warehouse, so platform reports and board reports finally agree.

What’s included

  • Channel, campaign and cost data pipelines
  • Tested transformation models
  • One definition per metric, documented
  • Dashboards built on the same layer
  • Warehouse
  • Definitions
  • One number
  • dbt

Best forOrganisations where every team brings a different version of the same metric.

02Experiments & incrementality

3 services
Typical timeline: 4–10 weeks per test

Incrementality testing

Hold out a group, run the campaign, and measure what the advertising actually caused rather than what it was credited with.

What’s included

  • Test design with power and duration calculations
  • Holdout or geo split implementation
  • Analysis with confidence intervals
  • Readout and what it changes in the plan
  • Holdouts
  • Causal
  • Lift

Best forAdvertisers suspecting a channel is taking credit for demand it did not create.

Typical timeline: 6–12 weeks per test

Geo experiments

Turn spend up or down by region to measure effect where individual tracking is not available or not permitted.

What’s included

  • Matched market selection
  • Spend plan and test calendar
  • Analysis against the synthetic control
  • Calibration input for mix modelling
  • Geo
  • Matched markets
  • Calibration

Best forBrands advertising on television, radio, out of home or in walled gardens.

Typical timeline: Ongoing, monthly cycles

Creative & audience testing programme

A disciplined testing calendar with enough traffic per cell to learn something, and a library so the same test is not run twice.

What’s included

  • Test roadmap ranked by expected value
  • Sequential testing or bandit allocation
  • Creative fatigue detection
  • Learning library the whole team can search
  • Testing
  • Bandits
  • Learning library

Best forTeams running tests that never reach significance.

03Models & planning

3 services
Typical timeline: 8–14 weeks

Marketing mix modelling

A model of how every channel contributes to sales, including the ones you cannot track, calibrated against real experiments.

What’s included

  • Data collection across channels, price and seasonality
  • Bayesian model with adstock and saturation curves
  • Calibration against experiment results
  • Contribution and efficiency read by channel
  • Documentation of assumptions and limits
  • MMM
  • Bayesian
  • Calibrated
  • dbt

Best forAdvertisers spending across online and offline channels.

Typical timeline: 3–6 weeks after a model exists

Budget scenario planning

Answer the planning question directly: if the budget moves by this much, what happens, and where should it go.

What’s included

  • Scenario tool built on the mix model
  • Response curves by channel and market
  • Diminishing return and saturation points
  • Annual and quarterly planning support
  • Scenarios
  • Planning
  • Response curves
  • Power BI

Best forTeams heading into an annual planning round with a number to defend.

Typical timeline: 6–10 weeks

Propensity audiences for media

Target people likely to buy or likely to lapse, with audiences refreshed automatically and shared only where consent allows.

What’s included

  • Propensity and value models
  • Consent-aware audience syndication
  • Suppression of existing and unsuitable customers
  • Measurement against a broad-targeting control
  • Propensity
  • Suppression
  • Audiences
  • dbt

Best forAdvertisers paying to reach customers they already have.

04Automation & guardrails

3 services
Typical timeline: 6–10 weeks

Budget allocation agent

Daily or weekly reallocation proposals across channels and campaigns, each with expected effect and confidence, applied after approval.

What’s included

  • Allocation logic tied to modelled contribution
  • Proposals with reasoning and confidence
  • Approval threshold you set
  • Execution through platform APIs with rollback
  • Allocation
  • Approval
  • Rollback

Best forTeams reallocating budget manually once a month and losing the weeks in between.

Typical timeline: 3–6 weeks

Anomaly detection & alerting

Catch a broken tag, a runaway campaign or a collapsing conversion rate within hours instead of at the monthly review.

What’s included

  • Baselines per campaign, channel and market
  • Anomaly detection on spend, cost and conversion
  • Alerts to the people who can act
  • Weekly false-positive tuning
  • Anomalies
  • Alerts
  • Same day
  • Slack

Best forAdvertisers who have lost a week of budget to a mistake nobody noticed.

Typical timeline: 2–4 weeks

Pacing & spend guardrails

Caps, pacing rules and a kill switch that your team controls, so automation can never spend past its limits.

What’s included

  • Pacing rules by campaign and market
  • Hard spend caps and exclusion lists
  • Kill switch with no agency ticket required
  • Change log of every automated action
  • Caps
  • Pacing
  • Kill switch

Best forAnyone letting automated bidding run without a ceiling.

05Reporting & programmes

2 services
Typical timeline: 3–6 weeks

Marketing performance dashboard

One view of spend, contribution and efficiency that leadership reads without a translator.

What’s included

  • Dashboards on the shared metric layer
  • Channel contribution and efficiency views
  • Commentary and next actions each month
  • Access for finance and leadership
  • Dashboard
  • Leadership
  • Monthly
  • Power BI

Best forMarketing leaders rebuilding the same slide every month.

Typical timeline: Ongoing, quarterly cycles

Ongoing optimisation programme

A standing cycle of tests, model refreshes and reallocation, reported against a baseline you agreed at the start.

What’s included

  • Weekly optimisation and proposal cycle
  • Quarterly model refresh and recalibration
  • Test roadmap maintained with your team
  • Monthly report against the baseline
  • Ongoing
  • Weekly cycle
  • Quarterly refresh

Best forAdvertisers where media is a material and permanent line in the budget.

Your brief

Tick “Add to brief” on any service, choose a package, then continue. Or enquire about one service directly.

Start a project

Ways to engage. Same team, same standard.

Three ways in, from a two-minute question to a formal RFQ. Each is read in full by the lead for the work, and anything already in your brief goes with it.

Or book a thirty-minute call

What are you sending?

  1. 01

    About 2 minutes4 required answers

    For a first conversation, a press request, or anything that does not need a scope yet.

    You get A reply from a lead, not a sales queue

  2. 02Most useful

    About 8 minutes5 short steps

    Goals, audiences, a budget band and timing. Enough for us to come back with a shape, not only questions.

    You get Options and a first scope after one call

  3. 03

    About 15 minutesYour documents attached

    Your pack, your deadlines, and the procurement and security rules the work must meet.

    You get Receipt confirmed and a named bid lead

How it is priced

Each package shows how it is priced. Every engagement starts with a written scope and a quote agreed before work begins.

  • Typical length
    1–3 weeks
    Pricing
    Fixed fee
  • Typical length
    4–12 weeks
    Pricing
    Fixed price
  • Typical length
    Ongoing · 6-month minimum
    Pricing
    Monthly fee
  • Typical length
    6–18 months
    Pricing
    Programme fee · by statement of work
Compare what each package includes
What every engagement package includes, and who it suits
PackageEvery engagement includesBest for
SprintOne fixed question, answered in one to three weeks.
  • Scope and outcome agreed before day one
  • One senior lead and the specialists the question needs
  • A working review every week
  • A decision-ready output, not a status deck
Discovery, a diagnostic, a prototype or a decision you need to make soon
ProjectA defined scope, delivered for a fixed price.
  • Statement of work with deliverables and acceptance criteria
  • A named project lead and a fixed team
  • A shared plan with dated checkpoints
  • Source files and IP transferred on delivery
Work you can describe up front: an identity, a system, a set of tools
RetainerReserved monthly capacity to run, improve and extend what we built.
  • A reserved block of team time every month
  • Agreed response times for requests and fixes
  • A monthly review and a rolling backlog
  • Continuous improvement, not just upkeep
Brands and products after launch that need a steady team without hiring one
EnterpriseA multi-workstream programme with governance, a dedicated team and SLAs.
  • An engagement director and a steering group
  • A dedicated team across several workstreams
  • Service levels, reporting and a risk register
  • Security, legal and procurement reviews built into the plan
Large organisations running change across markets, portfolios or business units

Questions

What teams ask about campaign ai.

Anything else, ask us directly. A short call is usually quicker than a long email.

01Is this the same as Performance Marketing?

No. Performance Marketing, in Campaign & Content Design, plans and runs the media. This builds the measurement, models and automation that decide where the money should go. It works with our media team or with the agency you already use.

02Attribution, incrementality or mix modelling — which do we need?

All three answer different questions. Attribution shows paths and is useful for operations. Experiments measure true causal lift on a specific channel. Mix modelling covers the whole budget, including channels you cannot track. We use experiments to calibrate the model and treat attribution as a diagnostic.

03Does signal loss from privacy changes break this?

It changes the method, not the outcome. Consent mode, server-side tagging and conversion APIs preserve what people have agreed to share, and mix modelling and geo experiments do not depend on individual tracking at all.

04Will an AI system be allowed to change our budgets?

Only within limits you set. Proposals carry the expected effect, the confidence and the reasoning; a named person approves anything above the threshold you choose; caps, exclusions and rollback are always on. Full autonomy is available for narrow, well-tested decisions once evidence supports it.

05How much data does mix modelling need?

Typically two to three years of weekly history across channels and markets, plus spend, price and seasonality. With less, we start with experiments and lightweight models and build towards it.

Let’s build what happens next.

Tell us what you’re building. We’ll answer straight.

Book a discovery call

Three ways to start

Every engagement starts with a written scope and a quote agreed before work begins.

Choose one of the three ways above